Defense Minister Sergey
Shoigu said Wednesday that "we have to maintain (Russia's) military
presence in the western Atlantic and eastern Pacific, as well as the
Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico" -- including sending bombers "as part
of the drills."
It's an argument U.S. officials don't seem to be buying.
"We do not see the
security environment as warranting such provocative and potentially
destabilizing activity," a senior Obama administration official said
Thursday.
U.S. State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki offered a similar response.
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"We don't think there is a
current situation in the western Atlantic and eastern Pacific or the
Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico that warrants additional flights in
out-of-area territory," she told reporters.
That's not all.
Shoigu said that Russia will also boost its security in Crimea, the region it annexed from Ukraine earlier this year.
"In many respects, this
is connected with the situation in Ukraine, with fomentation of
anti-Russian moods on the part of NATO and reinforcement of foreign
military presence next to our border," he said.
The ceasefire in volatile eastern Ukraine is crumbling,
with U.S. and allied officials accusing Moscow of sending fresh troops,
tanks and other military equipment across the border in recent days --
something that Russian officials have strongly denied.
But what does that have to do with the Gulf of Mexico, some 6,000 miles away?
The Russians are clearly
trying to make a point with their plan to send bombers toward the Gulf
of Mexico, said Jeffrey Mankoff, a fellow at the Center for Strategic
and International Studies. The message, he said, is "connected to the
tensions over Ukraine that have also affected the broader relationship."
"It's kind of a
reciprocity," Mankoff told CNN. "They see us trying to muscle in on what
they see as their sphere of influence. (Russia is likely thinking), 'If
they can do it to us, we can do it them.'"
Shoigu also said Russia will expand its presence in the Arctic region, which could affect Alaska and northern Canada.
This includes full radar
coverage of that region by year's end, leaving Russia ready "to meet
unwanted guests" both from the north and east by 2015, Shoigu said,
according to a state-run TASS news agency report.
That means Russia's new
drills will fly near most of America's coastline, said Barry Pavel, an
international security expert at the Washington-based Atlantic Council
think tank.
"We're talking about
ringing the United States, with the exception of the Canadian border,
where the Russian bombers don't need to go," Pavel said.
Russian planes flew near U.S. before
It's not as though the United States doesn't have its own warplanes in places like Japan and Turkey, not to mention NATO air operations
assisting Albania, Slovenia and Baltic nations. And Mankoff, who
previously served as a U.S. State Department adviser on U.S.-Russia
relations, notes that the U.S. military also sometimes flies not far
from Russia -- also to send a message, as well as to test things like
response times.
"It's not necessarily anything to be overly alarmed about as long as the patrols stay in international airspace," he said.
And, as recently as June, U.S. fighter jets have intercepted Russian long-range bombers off Alaska and California.
Those four Russian
planes flew within an area 200 miles from the North American coast. Two
peeled off and headed west, while the other two flew south and were
intercepted by U.S. F-15s within 50 miles of the California coast.
Capt. Jeff Davis, a
spokesman for the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD), said
at the time that this was the first time U.S. jets intercepted Russian
military aircraft off California in about two years. But such incidents
generally are not uncommon, with Davis estimating that Russian flights
fly into the so-called air defense zone -- the area 200 miles from the
U.S. coast but not within the 13.8 miles that international law would
define as U.S. territory -- 10 times a year.
Yet there are signs that
Russia has stepped up its military provocations as of late, some of
which the European Leadership Network documented earlier this week.
Last month, the Swedish
military searched for a mystery underwater vessel after intercepting an
emergency radio call in Russian and getting reports about a foreign
vessel being spotted in the waters near Stockholm. Though no vessel was
found, it was the largest submarine hunt in Swedish waters since the end
of the Cold War.
In September, the United States intercepted six Russian planes, including fighter jets and tankers, in airspace near Alaska, officials said.
The same month, an Estonian official was abducted from a border post, taken to Moscow and accused of espionage, sparking dueling claims between the two nations.
The uptick in incidents have raised concerns about safety -- and about military and geopolitical issues, Pavel said.
"Russia (is) flexing its
military muscle, identifying the United States and NATO as the enemy.
That feeling is not reciprocated, but we have a Russia that is starting
to throw its military weight around, and in some ways, looking for
provocations," he said. "I think this could be very dangerous, and
create a crisis, where one didn't need to exist."
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And not only have the encounters escalated, so have the risks.
In March, a covert Russian military plane nearly collided with a Swedish passenger aircraft carrying 132 people.
The "real danger" of new
Russian flights near the American coast is that an accident actually
happens or things "get a little bit out of hand."
"If there's a collision or if somebody overreacted," Mankoff said, that could inflame U.S.-Russia tensions even further.
He recalled a 2001
incident, in which a U.S. spy plane collided with a Chinese fighter jet
before making an emergency landing inside China. That episode shook up
relations between Beijing and Washington.
During the Cold War,
Soviet warplanes were more frequent in areas around the United States.
But Mankoff noted that changed with the fall of the Soviet Union, in
part because of cost.
Things slowly changed as
Russia took shape, long before Ukraine became an issue. And there's
also interest in Moscow in having close ties with its allies in the
Americas, such as Venezuela.
"When I was in
government four or five years ago, when there was definitely concern
that this was becoming more frequent even then," Mankoff said of about
Russian military provocations. "This isn't happening out of the blue."
Russia again denies it has troops in Ukraine
Still, there's no doubt that the Ukraine crisis is the driving wedge in U.S.-Russia relations at this point.
A ceasefire deal reached
in September has seemingly crumbled, with intensified fighting of late
between Ukrainian forces and pro-Russian rebels.
Those rebels have been
joined by Russian troops, tanks, artillery and air defense systems that
have recently crossed the border, according to U.S. Gen. Phillip
Breedlove, NATO's commander for Europe.
On Thursday, Ukrainian
defense spokesman Andriy Lysenko said there's been "constant movement of
Russian military equipment with (separatist) marks to the dividing
line."
Yet Russia, as it's done time and again, is knocking down any claims that it has troops inside Ukrainian territory.
"I am telling you very
frankly and officially as well: There are no military forces or any
military movement across the border, and moreover there is no presence
of our troops in the territory of (southeast) Ukraine," foreign ministry
spokesman Alexander Lukhashevich said.
CNN
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